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<div id="nvdvxlr" class="rightr"> <div id="jhjbdb5" class="tit rtit">產(chǎn)能受限，再生鋁行業(yè)發(fā)展?jié)摿薮?/div> <div id="pn5j7bp" class="rct"><section style="text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68); visibility: visible;">鋁產(chǎn)品的上游來源分為電解鋁和再生鋁。過去電解鋁是我國鋁合金產(chǎn)品的主要供應(yīng)來源，80%以上的電解鋁使用火電，行業(yè)總碳排放約占全社會碳排放的5%。由于耗能高、碳排放量高，因此政策嚴(yán)管嚴(yán)控電解鋁產(chǎn)能增加，行業(yè)整體增量有限。</span></section><p><section style="text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68); visibility: visible;">隨著供給側(cè)改革的不斷深入和雙碳目標(biāo)的持續(xù)發(fā)力，國內(nèi)電解鋁總產(chǎn)能天花板基本確定約為4500萬噸。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68); visibility: visible;">資料顯示，再生鋁生產(chǎn)則與原鋁有著本質(zhì)的不同，其主要原材料為廢鋁，可以不斷循環(huán)利用，具有節(jié)約資源、減少鋁礦資源對外依賴、環(huán)保的特點(diǎn)以及經(jīng)濟(jì)優(yōu)勢，相比原鋁生產(chǎn)大幅節(jié)約土地、水電資源，是有色金屬行業(yè)循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)的重要組成部分。特別是在“雙碳”目標(biāo)戰(zhàn)略下，面對電解鋁產(chǎn)能“天花板”，發(fā)展再生鋁產(chǎn)業(yè)不但是解決鋁工業(yè)發(fā)展資源的重要途徑，也是實(shí)現(xiàn)鋁行業(yè)碳減排的主要途徑之一，不屬于“兩高”之列，是國家明確支持、鼓勵(lì)發(fā)展的產(chǎn)業(yè)。隨著生態(tài)文明和美麗中國建設(shè)不斷深入，綠色低碳發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略部署貫徹落實(shí)，再生鋁產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展將被賦予了更多時(shí)代責(zé)任。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68); visibility: visible;">經(jīng)過多年發(fā)展，我國再生鋁產(chǎn)量保持持續(xù)增長，原料市場逐漸以國內(nèi)為主，進(jìn)口原料品質(zhì)大幅提升，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化，規(guī)模化、集聚化、上下游協(xié)同化發(fā)展進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng)，環(huán)保水平及綜合處置能力不斷提升，原生再生進(jìn)一步融合，資本市場迅速加入，新建項(xiàng)目投資創(chuàng)近年新高。中國有色金屬工業(yè)協(xié)會再生金屬分會數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2020年，我國再生鋁產(chǎn)量繼續(xù)保持增長，產(chǎn)量達(dá)740萬噸，同比增長2.1%。截至2020年中國是上大的回收鋁生產(chǎn)國及消費(fèi)國，從值來說回收鋁重量約占全球年產(chǎn)量的1/3。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68); visibility: visible;">國際鋁業(yè)協(xié)會數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2010-2021年，全球再生鋁產(chǎn)量逐年上升，年均復(fù)合增速超過5%，2020年全球再生鋁產(chǎn)量達(dá)3471萬噸，同比增長5.2%。初步核算2021年全球再生鋁產(chǎn)量約為3583萬噸，較2020年進(jìn)一步提高。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68);font-size: 16px;text-decoration-style: solid;text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68);">根據(jù)全球鋁冶煉總產(chǎn)量和再生鋁產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)，截至2020年，全球再生鋁占鋁冶煉產(chǎn)量比重達(dá)14.8%，2021年約為14.6%，基本持平。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68);font-size: 16px;text-decoration-style: solid;text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 68);">21世紀(jì)以來，全球鋁冶煉產(chǎn)能過剩問題開始凸顯，且綠色環(huán)保、再生資源利用等觀念逐漸興起，再生鋁行業(yè)進(jìn)入黃金發(fā)展時(shí)期，產(chǎn)量逐年提高。前瞻初步預(yù)計(jì)2022-2027年全球再生鋁行業(yè)產(chǎn)量將進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大，2027年有望超過5100萬噸，年均復(fù)合增長率約為5%。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68);font-size: 16px;text-decoration-style: solid;text-decoration-color: rgb(68, 68, 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